Major coins declined sharply Monday evening as the global cryptocurrency market cap fell 5.9% to $979.9 billion at press time.
|Cryptocurrency||24-Hour % Change (+/-)||Price|
|Trust Wallet Token (TWT)||+3.7%||$0.9|
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Why It Matters: Bitcoin and Ethereum plunged sharply as investor sentiment remained subdued ahead of a key policy meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve and earnings data from major tech giants.
Cryptocurrencies mirrored the tech-heavy Nasdaq, which ended Monday down 0.4%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures fell 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively, at press time after Walmart Inc WMT cut guidance and said increased inflation was affecting consumer spending.
This week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting could possibly end with a 100 basis points interest rate hike, according to some economists.
The CME FedWatch tool put the probability of a 75 bps rate hike at 77.5%, while for a 100 bps at 22.5% at press time.
Target Rate Probabilities For Jul 27 FOMC Meeting — Courtesy CME Group
The specter of rate hikes and a looming recession have not spared the dollar either, which has been inversely correlated with cryptocurrencies lately. The dollar index, a measure of the greenback’s strength against a basket of currencies, traded 0.08% lower at 106.40 at press time.
Edward Moya, a senior market analyst with OANDA, noted the stack of macroeconomic fundamentals working against Bitcoin in a note seen by Benzinga.
“Cryptocurrencies are broadly weaker as investors await an FOMC decision that will likely conclude with a 75 basis-point rate increase and reaffirm a commitment to fighting inflation.”
Delphi Digital said that going forward, there are two important timeframe levels for investors. If Bitcoin breaks above the current price range of $20,000 to $24,000, “high time-frame resistance” will come into play around the $28,000 to $30,000 region, it said.
“If [Bitcoin] breaks below the current range, we are likely looking at the $10K-$12K price range, with some possible front running in the $14K-$16K region,” Delphi Digital said in a note.
Cryptocurrency trader Michaël van de Poppe said “people really expect the worst” out of Wednesday — the final day of the FOMC meeting — ”but maybe the worst is already heavily priced in.”
People really expect the worst out of Wednesday, but maybe the worst is already heavily priced in.
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) July 25, 2022
An indicator that identifies a turning point in an asset’s price trend was used by Ali Martinez on Ethereum’s daily chart. The analyst said that TD Sequential presents a “sell signal.”
“A spike in profit taking that takes [ETH] below $1,550 could trigger a correction to $1,300.”
— Ali Martinez (@ali_charts) July 25, 2022
Ethereum’s gas consumption dominance by non fungible token activities has risen 6.2% since November, while that of decentralized finance applications fell from 27.5% to 15.1%, said Glassnode, an on-chain data focused company.
#Ethereum relative gas consumption dominance by NFT activities has grown 6.2% since November, showing a continued market preference for NFT transactions.
Meanwhile, the dominance of DeFi applications has declined from 27.5% to 15.1%.
— glassnode (@glassnode) July 25, 2022
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